Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T22:19:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2e4c…6aa6 crypto 1547 markets active 1h ago coverage 60d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 59d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$582 (-1%) realized −$582 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate96%1489W / 57L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day32.7pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$1,241
14 days−$1,041
30 days−$633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$512
other 10% −$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -13.6% -21.9% 85% 0% -22.8%
≤30d 569 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 2% -11.0%
≤90d 1546 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 2% -10.4%
all 1546 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 2% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 2% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 1% -19.0%
15% -27.2% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$41 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$582
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1489 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1546 / 1547
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$50
Trades / day32.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1546 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $31 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $72 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $74 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $31 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET Jun 15 $73 +$4 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $74 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $47 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $72 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $74 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 22h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 23h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $65 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 25h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $75 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $75 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $72 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.82 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records