trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -39.3% | -45.1% | 24% | 24% | -45.9% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 27% | 27% | -40.0% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 27% | 27% | -40.0% |
| all | 33 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 27% | 27% | -40.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.3% | 27% | -40.0% |
| 10% | -45.1% | 27% | -45.7% |
| 15% | -50.4% | 27% | -51.0% |
| 20% | -55.3% | 27% | -55.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 52¢ | 55¢ | $55 | $58 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-46%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $9 | +$20 | +238% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $6 | +$6 | +105% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | +$16 | +158% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $15 | −$14 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $5 | +$10 | +188% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $9 | −$8 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $18 | −$17 | -99% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $12 | −$11 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | +$13 | +128% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $13 | −$12 | -98% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Jun 07 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 07 | $7 | +$8 | +114% |
| Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 | Jun 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5 | Jun 01 | $8 | +$9 | +109% |
| Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 01 | $10 | +$17 | +172% |