Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e40…5a6d
crypto · 886 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$146 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$146 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses445 / 441
Open positions0
Markets (closed)886 / 886
History coverage134d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 886 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$174
14 days−$189
30 days−$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$128
other 1% −$18
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -14.7% -22.9% 41% 27% -27.0%
≤30d 637 -13.8% -22.0% 42% 26% -25.1%
≤90d 637 -13.8% -22.0% 42% 26% -25.1%
all 886 -6.8% -15.7% 50% 35% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 35% -17.2%
10% -23.8% 23% -25.2%
15% -31.1% 14% -32.4%
20% -37.9% 9% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2645 history records