Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:59:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e3c…08ba
sports · 78 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$162,283 +126%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$465 · open +$164
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,531
Realized+$465
Unrealized+$164
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses35 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$1,616
Open positions22
Markets (closed)59 / 78
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,653
Trades / day2844.0
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 22 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$465
7 days+$465
14 days+$465
30 days+$465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 82¢ 100¢ $600 $731 +$131 (+22%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 79¢ 100¢ $562 $714 +$152 (+27%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 90¢ 100¢ $592 $657 +$65 (+11%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 77¢ 90¢ $521 $606 +$85 (+16%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 98¢ $394 $556 +$162 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 76¢ 100¢ $228 $300 +$72 (+32%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 38¢ 56¢ $152 $228 +$77 (+50%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug - Game 2 Winner the bug 70¢ 100¢ $116 $164 +$48 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner K27 79¢ 100¢ $130 $164 +$34 (+26%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Top Esports 45¢ 47¢ $148 $155 +$7 (+5%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs the bug 74¢ 99¢ $84 $113 +$29 (+34%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs K27 79¢ 100¢ $83 $105 +$22 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain - Map 1 Winner Clutchain 76¢ 100¢ $25 $33 +$8 (+32%)
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage Mentality Monster 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 85¢ 41¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-52%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 0¢ $484 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BASEMENT BOYS 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 38¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner Noir Verse 24¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs WRAITH PCIFIC 21¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug - Game 1 Winner NA, wed win 11¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 28¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,090 +$82 +8%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,185 +$16 +1%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $150 +$70 +47%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $353 −$4 -1%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $230 −$29 -12%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,950 +$65 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,466 +$54 +2%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $209 −$209 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,535 +$306 +20%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 14 $856 −$36 -4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $14,308 +$124 +1%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $4,369 −$663 -15%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,980 +$74 +4%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $880 −$147 -17%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,423 −$552 -23%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $393 +$14 +4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,518 −$8 -0%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,675 −$190 -7%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $698 +$68 +10%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $148 −$58 -39%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $2,193 −$43 -2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,222 −$26 -1%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $2,673 −$150 -6%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $1,645 +$131 +8%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $1,040 −$77 -7%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $167 −$63 -38%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $608 −$49 -8%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $136 −$96 -71%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $688 +$572 +83%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $996 −$15 -2%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,013 −$73 -7%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $45 +$70 +154%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $886 +$34 +4%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $621 +$11 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9,581 −$366 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,428 +$141 +6%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,012 +$86 +8%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $646 +$74 +11%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $706 +$46 +6%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $543 +$377 +69%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $220 −$56 -26%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,211 +$125 +10%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $339 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $997 +$62 +6%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,193 +$7 +0%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $450 −$183 -41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $692 +$12 +2%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $956 +$115 +12%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $145 +$40 +28%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $135 +$60 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$569
other 0% +$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 36¢ $23 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 36¢ $5 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 37¢ $10 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 38¢ $115 2m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $91 2m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $1 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $2 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $69 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 61¢ $191 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 61¢ $15 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 55¢ $25 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $15 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 48¢ $180 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 49¢ $31 10m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 2¢ $3 11m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 89¢ $149 11m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 80¢ $87 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 41¢ $128 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $4 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $1 12m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 23¢ $24 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 42¢ $41 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 42¢ $104 12m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 33¢ $2 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 36¢ $30 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 36¢ $20 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 55¢ $18 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 47¢ $50 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 47¢ $47 13m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 53¢ $52 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +5.0% -5.0% 59% 22% -9.1%
≤30d 59 +5.0% -5.0% 59% 22% -9.1%
≤90d 59 +5.0% -5.0% 59% 22% -9.1%
all 59 +5.0% -5.0% 59% 22% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2844.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 22% -9.1%
10% -14.1% 15% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -22.4% 14% -25.7%
20% -30.0% 8% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,530.97 · official $4,530.61 (match) · 3500 history records