Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e0e…1557
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$218 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$218 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$64
Realized+$218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses49 / 12
Open positions5
Markets (closed)61 / 66
History coverage540d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 5 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? No 92¢ 92¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No 100¢ 100¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-0%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May? Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 22? Jun 13 $13 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7? May 21 $10 $0 +1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April May 06 $2 $0 +1%
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 06 $4 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? May 06 $17 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Apr 15 $2 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? Apr 15 $25 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? Mar 11 $1 $0 +2%
Nets vs. Magic Mar 11 $1 $0 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11? Feb 05 $3 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? Feb 05 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30? Jan 11 $1 $0 +1%
Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins Jan 11 $1 $0 +3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Jan 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31? Jan 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17? Dec 30 $2 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14? Dec 17 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15? Dec 17 $4 $0 +0%
LSU Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs Dec 15 $1 $0 +4%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Dec 15 $120 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12? Dec 14 $3 $0 +1%
Sabres vs. Canucks Dec 14 $241 +$214 +89%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 10? Dec 12 $1 $0 +2%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gators Dec 12 $4 $0 +3%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Dec 12 $250 $0 -0%
Hornets vs. Knicks Dec 10 $1 $0 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3? Dec 10 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17? Dec 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November Dec 03 $2 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? Dec 03 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November Nov 17 $3 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? Nov 05 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October Nov 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October? Nov 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $120 in October? Nov 05 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on October Oct 29 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 18? Oct 22 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $180 in September? Oct 18 $5 $0 +3%
Will Solana reach $290 in August? Sep 21 $9 $0 +2%
Will Solana dip to $120 in July? Aug 19 $7 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? Jul 20 $3 $0 +9%
Will Solana reach $210 in May? Jun 08 $5 $0 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18? May 26 $1 $0 +47%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 26 $20 $0 +2%
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31? Apr 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? Mar 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 02 $105 +$1 +1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa Mar 02 $12 +$3 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 40% $0
sports 39% +$215
crypto 15% +$4
politics 2% +$1
weather 2% +$1
tech 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 22? BUY No 96¢ $13 23d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7? BUY No 99¢ $10 37d
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May? BUY No 87¢ $3 37d
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May? BUY No 100¢ $20 37d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $18 37d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 99¢ $2 58d
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $17 58d
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 58d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March BUY Yes 97¢ $2 94d
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? BUY No 100¢ $25 94d
Nets vs. Magic BUY Magic 80¢ $1 127d
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? BUY No 98¢ $1 127d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 153d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? BUY No 100¢ $20 153d
Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins BUY Detroit Titans 97¢ $1 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 165d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem BUY Yes 100¢ $5 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17? BUY No 99¢ $2 178d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $4 180d
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 98¢ $120 180d
LSU Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs BUY LSU Tigers 96¢ $1 181d
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $3 181d
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $120 181d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 183d
Sabres vs. Canucks BUY Sabres 53¢ $241 183d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 99¢ $250 183d
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gators BUY Connecticut Huskies 96¢ $2 185d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +6.1% -4.0% 100% 33% -7.1%
≤30d 4 +4.7% -5.2% 100% 25% -7.5%
≤90d 9 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 11% -8.3%
all 61 +3.4% -6.5% 80% 10% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.5% 10% +1.2%
10% -15.4% 8% -8.5%
15% -23.6% 3% -17.3%
20% -31.1% 2% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.01 · official $64.01 (match) · 189 history records