Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:45:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2df8…7c79
crypto · 1069 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$624 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$623 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$623
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses973 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1066 / 1069
History coverage14d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day172.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1066 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days−$2,957
14 days−$794
30 days−$623
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 Under 89¢ 92¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 84¢ 72¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $153 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $235 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $69 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $119 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$716
sports 12% −$294
other 7% +$280
world 6% +$103
politics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 36m
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 89¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 -7.4% -16.2% 85% 15% -21.2%
≤30d 1066 -1.0% -10.4% 91% 16% -10.0%
≤90d 1066 -1.0% -10.4% 91% 16% -10.0%
all 1066 -1.0% -10.4% 91% 16% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 16% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 6% -18.6%
15% -26.8% 1% -26.5%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.82 · official $18.50 · 3500 history records