trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +9% |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -70% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi | May 28 | $8 | −$3 | -40% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton | May 28 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | May 27 | $5 | +$3 | +57% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $3 | +$2 | +89% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24? | May 25 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | May 22 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +20.3% | +8.8% | 100% | 33% | +0.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 71% | 43% | -2.0% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 71% | 43% | -2.0% |
| all | 14 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 71% | 43% | -2.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.8% | 43% | -2.0% |
| 10% | -12.1% | 43% | -11.4% |
| 15% | -20.6% | 36% | -19.9% |
| 20% | -28.4% | 29% | -27.8% |