Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2dc4…0c92
other · 594 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,588 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,909 · open −$662
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,586
Realized−$15,909
Unrealized−$662
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses276 / 285
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$1,757
Open positions36
Markets (closed)561 / 594
History coverage43d
Avg bet$373
Trades / day63.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 36 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,874
7 days−$10,363
14 days−$7,029
30 days−$10,525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $1,141 $1,135 −$6 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $739 $744 +$4 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $613 $608 −$5 (-1%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 48¢ 50¢ $478 $493 +$15 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 52¢ 36¢ $601 $412 −$188 (-31%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 52¢ 50¢ $371 $358 −$12 (-3%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 47¢ 46¢ $354 $348 −$6 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 44¢ $322 $333 +$11 (+3%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 62¢ 60¢ $311 $303 −$9 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 56¢ 52¢ $306 $284 −$22 (-7%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 40¢ 40¢ $284 $280 −$4 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 46¢ $272 $261 −$10 (-4%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 9¢ 10¢ $233 $250 +$18 (+8%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $163 $171 +$9 (+5%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 50¢ 46¢ $175 $161 −$13 (-8%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $158 $160 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $139 $141 +$3 (+2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $133 $132 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 42¢ $105 $106 +$1 (+1%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 45¢ 46¢ $101 $102 +$1 (+1%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz NC Dinos 44¢ 44¢ $87 $87 −$0 (-0%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? No 39¢ 68¢ $49 $86 +$37 (+76%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 35¢ 36¢ $79 $81 +$2 (+3%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 78¢ $79 $79 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $76 $77 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $696 +$136 +20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $109 +$113 +104%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $69 +$180 +262%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $472 +$532 +113%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $968 +$254 +26%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $130 +$281 +216%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $15 +$25 +163%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $23 +$30 +128%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $86 +$84 +98%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $118 +$177 +150%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 12 $46 −$44 -97%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 12 $242 −$242 -100%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $263 −$263 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 12 $415 −$415 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $386 −$386 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $483 −$483 -100%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $554 −$493 -89%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 12 $608 −$608 -100%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 12 $370 −$370 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,022 −$1,022 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $728 −$728 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $547 −$539 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $46 +$20 +44%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $424 +$290 +68%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $64 +$29 +46%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 11 $34 +$40 +117%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $451 +$629 +140%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $901 +$633 +70%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1,129 +$888 +79%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 10 $166 +$68 +41%
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 10 $222 −$219 -99%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $208 +$177 +85%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $506 −$506 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $484 −$484 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $452 −$452 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $520 −$205 -39%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $219 −$219 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $465 −$465 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 10 $11 −$10 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $480 +$456 +95%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $530 +$423 +80%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $68 +$60 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$11,225
other 43% −$4,577
world 0% −$769
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $47 16m
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 43¢ $15 17m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $63 21m
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 43¢ $5 22m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $17 35m
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 43¢ $8 39m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 48¢ $28 45m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 48¢ $370 45m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $408 49m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 61¢ $21 51m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 61¢ $25 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $222 54m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 35¢ $50 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 44¢ $2 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 37¢ $6 1h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 34¢ $19 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $109 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $363 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 35¢ $5 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 35¢ $24 1h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 45¢ $97 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 44¢ $11 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 48¢ $30 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $246 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $203 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 44¢ $46 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 47¢ $35 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 52¢ $43 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 52¢ $82 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -27.3% -34.2% 36% 36% -48.1%
≤30d 353 -12.2% -20.6% 45% 44% -18.9%
≤90d 561 -2.4% -11.7% 49% 48% -16.3%
all 561 -2.4% -11.7% 49% 48% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 48% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 43% -24.3%
15% -27.8% 36% -31.6%
20% -34.9% 28% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,586.41 · official $7,586.41 (match) · 3500 history records