Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2da3…f258
sports · 507 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$854 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,235 · open −$559
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,215
Realized+$4,235
Unrealized−$559
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses182 / 155
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,262
Open positions179
Markets (closed)337 / 507
History coverage2d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day1931.1
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 179 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,235
7 days+$4,235
14 days+$4,235
30 days+$4,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 77¢ 78¢ $4,583 $4,636 +$52 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 75¢ 100¢ $2,966 $3,924 +$958 (+32%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 21¢ 22¢ $1,142 $1,223 +$82 (+7%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 60¢ $788 $687 −$100 (-13%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 89¢ 100¢ $430 $483 +$53 (+12%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 34¢ 40¢ $217 $260 +$43 (+20%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 93¢ 82¢ $209 $185 −$24 (-11%)
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Misa Esports 24¢ 100¢ $34 $140 +$106 (+311%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 100¢ $90 $126 +$35 (+39%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 53¢ 100¢ $64 $121 +$57 (+90%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 100¢ $59 $121 +$62 (+104%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 54¢ $102 $114 +$12 (+11%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 46¢ $124 $114 −$10 (-8%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 76¢ 80¢ $89 $94 +$5 (+6%)
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) WLGaming Esports 29¢ 100¢ $17 $60 +$42 (+243%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 29¢ 20¢ $84 $57 −$27 (-32%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C WLGaming Esports 7¢ 18¢ $15 $40 +$25 (+164%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+45%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Bo Nickal 73¢ 74¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? No 56¢ 68¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+20%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ 66¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-6%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Ronaldo 33¢ 39¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+18%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 69¢ 60¢ $21 $18 −$3 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $902 $17 −$885 (-98%)
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Bellucci 48¢ 99¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+106%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +84%
Will Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour vs. COD Meknès end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1223%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9 +$11 +134%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $8 +$7 +85%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $32 +$3 +8%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $6 +$6 +96%
Daniel Galan vs. Kimmer Coppejans: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $29 +$27 +96%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $212 −$9 -4%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) Jun 12 $8 +$7 +92%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $19 +$6 +30%
Daria Snigur vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $15 −$6 -38%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $469 +$19 +4%
Set Handicap: Vidmanova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Viktorija Golubic vs. Katie Swan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Raducanu Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Jiri Lehecka vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Set 1 Winner: Tan vs Tararudee Jun 12 $1 +$1 +117%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $19 +$6 +35%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$6 +70%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $2 +$3 +178%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $2 +$3 +186%
Set 1 Winner: Piros vs Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$3 +150%
Harriet Dart vs. Kamilla Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Rakhimova (-1.5) vs Dart (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Krueger (-1.5) vs Dudeney (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Holmgren (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Kolar (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set Handicap: Gormaz (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Lajal (-1.5) vs Gea (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Nuno Borges vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,692
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 68¢ $3 0m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 86¢ $259 1m
Set Handicap: Quevedo (-1.5) vs Samson (+1.5) BUY Quevedo 30¢ $1 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 15¢ $236 3m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $32 3m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $100 3m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $6 3m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 75¢ $151 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $41 3m
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Eintracht Spandau 48¢ $4 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $3 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 73¢ $58 4m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 17¢ $3 4m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 16¢ $3 4m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 80¢ $241 5m
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Eintracht Spandau 39¢ $16 5m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $58 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 31¢ $152 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $238 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $238 5m
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $11 6m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 69¢ $13 6m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $19 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 78¢ $6 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 78¢ $493 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $187 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 78¢ $236 6m
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, BUY Navajo Stirling 70¢ $1 6m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $2 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 +3.9% -6.0% 54% 39% -4.8%
≤30d 337 +3.9% -6.0% 54% 39% -4.8%
≤90d 337 +3.9% -6.0% 54% 39% -4.8%
all 337 +3.9% -6.0% 54% 39% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1931.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 39% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 36% -13.9%
15% -23.2% 32% -22.2%
20% -30.7% 28% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,215.33 · official $13,213.55 (match) · 3500 history records