Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d98…7900
crypto · 370 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$482 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$477 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$477
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses200 / 166
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions4
Markets (closed)366 / 370
History coverage17d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day104.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$165
14 days−$447
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 90¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 65¢ 49¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 19¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $274 +$153 +56%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $284 −$207 -73%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $134 −$110 -82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $184 −$1 -0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $64 −$2 -3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$20 +63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$11 +35%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $361 −$33 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +143%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $42 −$6 -15%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$3 -59%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$4 -67%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$258
sports 18% +$110
other 6% −$310
weather 1% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 30m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 53m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 55m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $258 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 89¢ $131 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $71 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $43 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $40 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $101 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $11 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $28 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $101 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $101 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $24 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $19 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 51¢ $15 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $20 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $31 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $20 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +29.0% +16.7% 57% 44% -17.1%
≤30d 366 +3.3% -6.5% 55% 45% -14.8%
≤90d 366 +3.3% -6.5% 55% 45% -14.8%
all 366 +3.3% -6.5% 55% 45% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 45% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 36% -23.0%
15% -23.6% 30% -30.4%
20% -31.1% 24% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.43 · official $71.43 (match) · 2054 history records