trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? | Jun 04 | $25 | +$6 | +25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $184 | +$27 | +15% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? | Jun 02 | $24 | +$5 | +21% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | Jun 01 | $188 | +$22 | +12% |
| Kash Patel out by May 31? | Jun 01 | $8 | +$2 | +21% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $54 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May? | May 30 | $24 | +$7 | +29% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May? | May 29 | $16 | −$13 | -83% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May? | May 28 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 28 | $171 | +$49 | +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 27 | $78 | +$4 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 25 | $16 | +$3 | +19% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | May 23 | $176 | +$11 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 22 | $149 | +$25 | +17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 20 | $49 | +$4 | +8% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 19 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? | May 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 15 | $12 | −$8 | -69% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | May 15 | $8 | −$5 | -65% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 67% | 52% | -4.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 67% | 52% | -4.3% |
| all | 21 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 67% | 52% | -4.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.1% | 52% | -4.3% |
| 10% | -33.2% | 14% | -13.5% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 0% | -21.8% |
| 20% | -45.6% | 0% | -29.5% |