Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d6e…7c47
crypto · 865 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$295 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$295 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$295
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses437 / 428
Open positions0
Markets (closed)865 / 865
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day168.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 865 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days−$181
14 days−$295
30 days−$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$12 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $9 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 681 -8.1% -16.9% 55% 52% -12.5%
≤30d 865 -10.4% -18.9% 51% 48% -13.2%
≤90d 865 -10.4% -18.9% 51% 48% -13.2%
all 865 -10.4% -18.9% 51% 48% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover168.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 48% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 45% -21.5%
15% -33.8% 30% -29.1%
20% -40.3% 21% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2585 history records