trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Scotland | 40¢ | 36¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-11%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score | No | 47¢ | 50¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 58¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $61 | +$26 | +43% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $50 | +$20 | +40% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $51 | −$1 | -1% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $51 | +$71 | +140% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.8% |
| all | 10 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.1% | 60% | +10.8% |
| 10% | +0.4% | 60% | +0.2% |
| 15% | -9.3% | 60% | -9.5% |
| 20% | -18.2% | 40% | -18.3% |