Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:13:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d52…ab69
crypto · 42 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$3 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses35 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)35 / 42
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 97¢ 96¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 96¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 99¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 $0 +16%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 08 $4 $0 +3%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $4 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6? Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% +$2
politics 13% +$1
other 5% $0
finance 5% $0
weather 5% $0
sports 4% $0
world 3% $0
culture 3% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $3 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $2 2h
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 99¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $2 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $2 3h
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? BUY No 99¢ $2 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 3h
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL Yes 100¢ $5 5h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $3 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $2 14h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 99¢ $2 14h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 98¢ $4 16h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $2 16h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 16h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $2 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 39h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 40h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 40h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 40h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
≤30d 35 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
≤90d 35 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
all 35 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 3% -6.7%
10% -15.7% 0% -15.6%
15% -23.9% 0% -23.7%
20% -31.3% 0% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.54 · official $24.52 (match) · 90 history records