Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d39…6053
sports · 168 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,941 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,785 · open +$3,391
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34,060
Realized−$1,785
Unrealized+$3,391
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses90 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$11,169
Open positions13
Markets (closed)182 / 168
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4,850
Trades / day395.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,472
7 days−$3,368
14 days−$1,785
30 days−$1,785
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 32¢ 100¢ $2,564 $7,996 +$5,432 (+212%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 67¢ 78¢ $6,676 $7,800 +$1,124 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 55¢ 100¢ $3,302 $5,926 +$2,624 (+79%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 82¢ 100¢ $3,387 $4,131 +$744 (+22%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 65¢ 56¢ $3,526 $3,029 −$497 (-14%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 29¢ 44¢ $1,427 $2,183 +$756 (+53%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 60¢ 100¢ $1,206 $1,989 +$784 (+65%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 16¢ 20¢ $429 $523 +$94 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ 100¢ $238 $313 +$76 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 13¢ 12¢ $130 $120 −$10 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 13¢ 4¢ $117 $40 −$76 (-65%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 33¢ 0¢ $3,509 $5 −$3,504 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 38¢ 0¢ $3,600 $5 −$3,595 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 30¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 15¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 38¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 29¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 33¢ 0¢ $1,125 $0 −$1,125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 61¢ 0¢ $2,194 $0 −$2,194 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 47¢ 0¢ $1,240 $0 −$1,240 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 48¢ 0¢ $3,801 $0 −$3,801 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 34¢ 0¢ $436 $0 −$436 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $700 −$700 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,775 −$1,201 -68%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,050 −$1,136 -108%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $474 −$442 -93%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $935 −$935 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $397 −$397 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $641 −$586 -91%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $988 −$988 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,095 +$101 +9%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,057 −$2,434 -118%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 12 $1,772 −$1,269 -72%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $615 +$1,325 +216%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$1,068 +3245%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $47 +$619 +1312%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $401 +$1,956 +488%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,005 −$991 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $384 −$384 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,073 −$506 -47%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $396 −$237 -60%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $255 −$216 -85%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $970 −$147 -15%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,235 −$1,351 -109%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $56 −$53 -95%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $343 −$343 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,341 −$4,290 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,726 −$1,543 -89%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,458 +$565 +39%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $662 +$459 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,698 +$2,341 +87%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,324 +$709 +16%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,001 +$6,166 +77%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13,417 −$1,278 -10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,635 +$1,829 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,404 −$1,141 -81%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $670 +$330 +49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,568 +$1,435 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,785 +$692 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,903 +$1,025 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,818 +$2,545 +67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,984 +$191 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $578 −$414 -72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $747 +$503 +67%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12,325 +$1,743 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,261 +$1,409 +33%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,180 −$3,148 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $426 +$33 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14,126 −$3,489 -25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,004 +$290 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$16,687
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $195 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $190 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 18¢ $12 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 16¢ $98 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 21¢ $11 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $115 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $116 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 17¢ $2 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 26¢ $650 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 63¢ $581 8m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 58¢ $245 9m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 49¢ $620 10m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $12 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $107 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $6 13m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $47 13m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $54 13m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 54¢ $90 13m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 69¢ $36 15m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 78¢ $1,741 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $4 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $800 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 87¢ $870 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 87¢ $870 24m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 55¢ $24 27m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 56¢ $114 28m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 51¢ $11 28m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 54¢ $688 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $913 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 73¢ $739 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 +21.0% +9.5% 49% 43% -9.4%
≤30d 182 +24.4% +12.6% 49% 43% -9.1%
≤90d 182 +24.4% +12.6% 49% 43% -9.1%
all 182 +24.4% +12.6% 49% 43% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover395.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.6% 43% -9.1%
10% +1.8% 35% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -8.0% 26% -25.8%
20% -17.1% 19% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34,060.49 · official $34,060.49 (match) · 3500 history records