Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2D
0x2d33…28f8
sports · 245 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$97 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses22 / 218
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions5
Markets (closed)240 / 245
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$127
14 days−$98
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 28¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+257%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Black Dragons e-Sports 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 54¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 34¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 37¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Fluxo W7M 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Yexin Ma vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Yexin Ma 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Veronika Podrez 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Robin Bertrand 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Ryan Dickerson 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata Zarazua Renata Zarazua 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu Murphy Cassone 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Angela Fita Boluda 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $7 +$11 +160%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$4 -70%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $1 +$2 +188%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Martos: Enrique Carrascosa Diaz vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $10 +$16 +158%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $20 +$2 +9%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $10 +$19 +188%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $10 +$19 +188%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Bratislava: Hynek Barton vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Jun 09 $2 +$56 +2735%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Joaquin Aguilar Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Cattolica: Maks Kasnikowski vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Tucuman: Juan Sebastian Gomez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Cattolica: Samuele Pieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Lyon: Luca Staeheli vs Felix Balshaw Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi You Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Lyon: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Tabur Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Ognjen Milic Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$82
other 12% −$22
world 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 54¢ $1 10m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 37¢ $1 56m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 34¢ $1 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A BUY Fluxo W7M 28¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 28¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 43¢ $1 2h
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A BUY Black Dragons e-Sports 62¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 35¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 33¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 39¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 32¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 32¢ $1 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 31¢ $1 3h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 26¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 26¢ $1 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $1 5h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 56¢ $1 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 34¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 27¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 27¢ $1 7h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 31¢ $1 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 32¢ $1 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 34¢ $1 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 37¢ $1 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 31¢ $1 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 39¢ $1 9h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 26¢ $1 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $10 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -54.0% -58.4% 7% 6% -41.5%
≤30d 240 -27.9% -34.8% 9% 8% -29.2%
≤90d 240 -27.9% -34.8% 9% 8% -29.2%
all 240 -27.9% -34.8% 9% 8% -29.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 8% -29.2%
10% ← realistic here -41.0% 8% -36.0%
15% -46.7% 8% -42.2%
20% -52.0% 8% -47.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.57 · official $7.57 (match) · 689 history records