trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +31.7% | +19.1% | 14% | 14% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +31.7% | +19.1% | 14% | 14% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +31.7% | +19.1% | 14% | 14% | -9.6% |
| all | 7 | +31.7% | +19.1% | 14% | 14% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +19.1% | 14% | -9.6% |
| 10% | +7.7% | 14% | -18.2% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -2.7% | 14% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -12.2% | 14% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 52¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 16 | $741 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 16 | $480 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +223% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $1,726 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 15 | $595 | −$1 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $111 | $0 | -0% |