Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:46:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cf4…18c7
crypto · 590 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$280 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$280 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses335 / 255
Open positions0
Markets (closed)590 / 590
History coverage27d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day82.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 590 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$24
14 days−$82
30 days−$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$280
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -9.9% -18.5% 33% 3% -12.8%
≤30d 590 -8.9% -17.5% 57% 8% -14.8%
≤90d 590 -8.9% -17.5% 57% 8% -14.8%
all 590 -8.9% -17.5% 57% 8% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 8% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 4% -22.9%
15% -32.6% 3% -30.4%
20% -39.2% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2902 history records