Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cdc…3157
crypto · 891 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$23 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses696 / 195
Open positions0
Markets (closed)891 / 891
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day45.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 891 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$10
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 349 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 66% -10.4%
≤30d 891 -2.9% -12.2% 78% 65% -11.8%
≤90d 891 -2.9% -12.2% 78% 65% -11.8%
all 891 -2.9% -12.2% 78% 65% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 65% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 29% -20.3%
15% -28.2% 14% -28.0%
20% -35.3% 6% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.69 · official $1.69 (match) · 1588 history records