| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 20 |
$31 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? |
Jun 19 |
$30 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$30 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 18 |
$30 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$30 |
$0 |
+0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Jun 17 |
$7 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
Jun 13 |
$70 |
−$2 |
-2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra |
Jun 13 |
$30 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? |
Jun 11 |
$16 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 10 |
$29 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Jun 09 |
$8 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? |
Jun 09 |
$29 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia |
Jun 08 |
$15 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Jun 07 |
$33 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
Jun 05 |
$29 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
Jun 05 |
$41 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? |
Jun 04 |
$30 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? |
Jun 04 |
$71 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 03 |
$65 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Jun 02 |
$30 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 01 |
$33 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 31 |
$92 |
−$5 |
-6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
May 31 |
$11 |
+$2 |
+15% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 30 |
$28 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
May 29 |
$65 |
−$5 |
-8% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
May 27 |
$10 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? |
May 27 |
$32 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? |
May 26 |
$44 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
May 26 |
$9 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 25 |
$32 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? |
May 25 |
$31 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? |
May 23 |
$3 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 23 |
$2 |
$0 |
+20% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? |
May 22 |
$5 |
$0 |
-2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
May 21 |
$58 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? |
May 21 |
$2 |
$0 |
-17% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? |
May 20 |
$2 |
$0 |
-10% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the |
May 18 |
$4 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
May 15 |
$161 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? |
May 15 |
$35 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Apr 27 |
$37 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Apr 26 |
$35 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? |
Apr 26 |
$35 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Apr 25 |
$4 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Apr 24 |
$74 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Apr 23 |
$42 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? |
Apr 23 |
$82 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Apr 22 |
$36 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Apr 22 |
$35 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Apr 22 |
$83 |
$0 |
+0% |