Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cb9…5a7a
crypto · 1371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$273 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$273 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses891 / 480
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1371 / 1371
History coverage9d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day336.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$241
14 days−$273
30 days−$273
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 975 -3.1% -12.3% 66% 16% -12.9%
≤30d 1371 -1.6% -10.9% 65% 21% -11.8%
≤90d 1371 -1.6% -10.9% 65% 21% -11.8%
all 1371 -1.6% -10.9% 65% 21% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover336.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 21% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 8% -20.3%
15% -27.2% 3% -28.0%
20% -34.4% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records