Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cb0…18e3
sports · 99 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$19 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses59 / 35
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)94 / 99
History coverage33d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$12
14 days+$1
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $5 +$5 +95%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $14 +$3 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $4 +$5 +145%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +51%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $6 −$5 -75%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? May 30 $1 $0 -8%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $1 $0 -8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $1 $0 -12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $4 $0 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2 +$1 +33%
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs May 30 $1 $0 +2%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1 +$1 +51%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner May 27 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $12 +$1 +6%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 26 $4 +$4 +90%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 26 $2 +$1 +33%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026? May 25 $1 $0 -4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $2 $0 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $2 +$1 +49%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $4 +$1 +33%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? May 25 $4 $0 -9%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 24 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Supernova vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner May 24 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 23 $3 +$1 +43%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $3 +$3 +94%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 23 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner May 22 $5 +$2 +40%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $5 +$4 +82%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $16 +$4 +26%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner May 22 $10 +$6 +56%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner May 22 $16 +$8 +51%
Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Olimpia Milano May 22 $6 +$3 +44%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seas May 22 $4 +$3 +72%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner May 21 $4 +$2 +49%
LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner May 21 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $7 +$3 +41%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual May 21 $4 +$2 +54%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - May 21 $6 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$22
other 12% +$5
tech 1% $0
world 1% $0
finance 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
weather 1% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $17 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $19 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 8¢ $2 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 14h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $9 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 22¢ $1 35h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 59¢ $3 37h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 68¢ $4 37h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 69¢ $1 46h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 46h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $2 4d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 65¢ $1 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 68¢ $1 5d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 8d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 8d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 12d
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? SELL No 51¢ $1 12d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 12d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer SELL Yes 28¢ $1 12d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer SELL Yes 28¢ $0 12d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $3 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $2 13d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL T1 100¢ $5 13d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY T1 88¢ $4 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +17.2% +6.0% 62% 62% +28.5%
≤30d 88 -3.6% -12.8% 60% 48% -16.2%
≤90d 94 -1.9% -11.2% 63% 50% -12.7%
all 94 -1.9% -11.2% 63% 50% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 50% -12.7%
10% -19.7% 40% -21.0%
15% -27.5% 28% -28.7%
20% -34.6% 16% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.64 · official $19.65 (match) · 215 history records