Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:54:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cab…556a
crypto · 925 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,062 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,062 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,062
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses502 / 422
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)924 / 925
History coverage71d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 924 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$12
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 76¢ 76¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$1,051
other 3% −$3
tech 1% +$5
world 0% −$3
weather 0% −$11
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -8.8% -17.5% 61% 34% -14.6%
≤30d 258 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 41% -11.4%
≤90d 924 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 46% -25.1%
all 924 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 46% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 46% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 39% -32.3%
15% -29.3% 35% -38.8%
20% -36.3% 33% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.31 · official $3.31 (match) · 2392 history records