Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T04:44:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2cab…786b crypto 1705 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$70 (+1%) realized +$70 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate90%1622W / 189L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day97.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,053
7 days−$1,066
14 days−$1,033
30 days−$1,072
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 879 -11.5% -19.9% 84% 0% -23.7%
≤30d 1811 -5.6% -14.6% 90% 0% -18.1%
≤90d 1811 -5.6% -14.6% 90% 0% -18.1%
all 1811 -5.6% -14.6% 90% 0% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 0% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 0% -26.0%
15% -30.2% 0% -33.1%
20% -37.1% 0% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$8 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.32 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1622 / 189
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1811 / 1705
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day97.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1811 Trades
no open positions (186 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records