Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c93…85d2
other · 16 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$337 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$329 · open −$54
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized+$329
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses8 / 4
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)12 / 16
History coverage85d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 2 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$133
7 days+$250
14 days+$250
30 days+$327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $45 $41 −$4 (-8%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $77 +$44 +58%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $78 +$50 +64%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$19 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $499 +$218 +44%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $39 +$38 +97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $39 +$101 +262%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $100 −$62 -62%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? Mar 21 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-21? Mar 21 $49 +$23 +47%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20? Mar 21 $50 +$50 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$92
sports 14% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $51 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $121 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $128 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $78 5h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY 24¢ $20 18h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Brazil BUY 10¢ $10 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $109 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 37h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 37h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $46 40h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $101 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $499 2d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 63¢ $77 4d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 50¢ $39 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $140 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $39 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL Yes 16¢ $38 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $100 14d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? BUY Yes 66¢ $71 84d
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-21? SELL No 100¢ $71 84d
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-21? BUY No 68¢ $49 85d
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20? BUY Yes 50¢ $30 85d
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 85d
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20? BUY Yes 50¢ $16 85d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +13.2% +2.4% 67% 67% +18.0%
≤30d 9 +41.9% +28.4% 67% 67% +20.0%
≤90d 12 +35.3% +22.4% 67% 67% +15.9%
all 12 +35.3% +22.4% 67% 67% +15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +22.4% 67% +15.9%
10% +10.7% 67% +4.8%
15% +0.0% 67% -5.4%
20% -9.8% 50% -14.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.41 · official $41.41 (match) · 29 history records