trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 0% | 0% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 50% | 33% | +9.1% |
| ≤90d | 75 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 43% | 25% | -10.8% |
| all | 121 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 45% | 26% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.4% | 26% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -15.4% | 21% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 14% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 12% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $2,982 | +$1,275 | +43% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $560 | −$163 | -29% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 30 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 27 | $3,286 | +$574 | +18% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 21 | $2,282 | +$215 | +9% |
| Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | May 20 | $390 | +$69 | +18% |
| Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | May 19 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West V | May 15 | $21 | −$8 | -39% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $465 | −$15 | -3% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 02 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 02 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $504 | −$356 | -71% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $241 | +$126 | +52% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 29 | $45 | −$1 | -3% |
| Oilers vs. Ducks | Apr 27 | $255 | +$299 | +117% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $995 | +$786 | +79% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 24 | $358 | −$298 | -83% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 24 | $73 | +$20 | +28% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 23 | $1,036 | −$385 | -37% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $12 | +$29 | +240% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $213 | +$55 | +26% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $76 | +$723 | +950% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $8 | +$17 | +216% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $140 | +$41 | +29% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $254 | −$254 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Apr 17 | $70 | −$6 | -8% |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Apr 17 | $251 | −$130 | -52% |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Apr 16 | $593 | −$345 | -58% |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Apr 16 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Apr 16 | $848 | −$71 | -8% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $240 | −$240 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Apr 15 | $821 | +$9 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 14 | $137 | −$25 | -18% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Apr 14 | $1,117 | −$165 | -15% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 14 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 14 | $1,164 | −$767 | -66% |
| Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 14 | $3 | +$3 | +117% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 14 | $1,296 | +$57 | +4% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Apr 14 | $393 | −$19 | -5% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $755 | +$45 | +6% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $788 | +$56 | +7% |
| Wild vs. Stars | Apr 10 | $97 | −$50 | -51% |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Apr 10 | $61 | +$52 | +85% |
| Flyers vs. Red Wings | Apr 10 | $432 | +$368 | +85% |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Apr 09 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Apr 09 | $282 | −$282 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Rangers | Apr 09 | $485 | +$337 | +70% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 09 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |