Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c6d…1a7f
crypto · 1414 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,611 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,610 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,610
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses651 / 1017
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1668 / 1414
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day565.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1668 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,920
7 days−$1,610
14 days−$1,610
30 days−$1,610
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 59¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$468
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1668 -15.1% -23.2% 39% 34% -35.6%
≤30d 1668 -15.1% -23.2% 39% 34% -35.6%
≤90d 1668 -15.1% -23.2% 39% 34% -35.6%
all 1668 -15.1% -23.2% 39% 34% -35.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover565.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.2% 34% -35.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 29% -41.7%
15% -37.3% 23% -47.4%
20% -43.4% 18% -52.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.10 · official $0.93 · 3500 history records