Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c6b…3f80
crypto · 627 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$65 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses377 / 250
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)627 / 627
History coverage227d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 627 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -76%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -23%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -33%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$32
finance 2% −$44
sports 0% +$10
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 13¢ $0 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +1.5% -8.2% 62% 54% +0.9%
≤30d 52 +1.5% -8.2% 62% 54% +0.9%
≤90d 289 -2.2% -11.5% 58% 50% -11.7%
all 627 -0.5% -9.9% 60% 41% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 41% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 28% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 14% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 7% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2503 history records