Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c66…01d0
crypto · 1186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,035 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$630 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,813
Realized−$630
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses920 / 252
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$204
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1172 / 1186
History coverage8d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day285.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 16 History 1172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$243
7 days−$641
14 days−$630
30 days−$630
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 72¢ $720 $715 −$5 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 54¢ 55¢ $648 $654 +$6 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 20¢ $196 $178 −$18 (-9%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $64 $63 −$1 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $33 $33 −$0 (-1%)
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 82¢ 64¢ $41 $32 −$9 (-21%)
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 62¢ $38 $30 −$7 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Down 44¢ 55¢ $24 $30 +$6 (+24%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $22 $20 −$1 (-6%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $20 $20 −$1 (-3%)
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 59¢ 52¢ $20 $17 −$2 (-13%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? No 37¢ 34¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-9%)
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? Yes 61¢ 38¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $950 −$14 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $270 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$33 +222%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$20 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$25 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $674 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $618 −$5 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $108 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$25 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$25 +127%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $408 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +72%
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $107 −$10 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $460 −$51 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $58 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$66
other 12% −$251
sports 6% −$176
world 4% −$137
economics 0% −$43
tech 0% −$9
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $10 0m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $53 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 20¢ $1 1m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $599 3m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $93 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $67 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $67 21m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $244 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $110 42m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $110 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $89 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $270 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $58 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $135 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $135 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 72¢ $721 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1023 +1.4% -8.3% 78% 19% -10.1%
≤30d 1172 +0.8% -8.8% 78% 19% -10.0%
≤90d 1172 +0.8% -8.8% 78% 19% -10.0%
all 1172 +0.8% -8.8% 78% 19% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover285.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 19% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 15% -18.6%
15% -25.5% 13% -26.5%
20% -32.8% 12% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,812.83 · official $1,811.92 (match) · 3500 history records