Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c65…9724
sports · 35 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$28 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$29
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses21 / 13
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day43.1
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 85¢ 74¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -79%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 +$8 +74%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$8 +123%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $11 +$7 +63%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -57%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +133%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +91%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +96%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +77%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$4 +53%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +85%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$29
other 8% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 85¢ $10 30m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $18 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $10 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $19 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 43¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 61¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 60¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 61¢ $5 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $14 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 47¢ $2 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 42¢ $4 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 71¢ $0 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $11 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 37¢ $5 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $6 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $2 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 62¢ $2 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 63¢ $2 6h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 76¢ $2 6h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $2 7h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 85¢ $2 7h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 28¢ $1 7h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 32¢ $1 7h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 37¢ $1 7h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs SELL Galions 100¢ $3 8h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 33¢ $1 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 99¢ $7 8h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 75¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +11.0% +0.4% 62% 53% +10.3%
≤30d 34 +11.0% +0.4% 62% 53% +10.3%
≤90d 34 +11.0% +0.4% 62% 53% +10.3%
all 34 +11.0% +0.4% 62% 53% +10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.4% 53% +10.3%
10% ← realistic here -9.2% 44% -0.2%
15% -17.9% 41% -9.9%
20% -26.0% 35% -18.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.76 · official $8.76 (match) · 90 history records