Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c52…3df7
crypto · 55 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$14 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses26 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)53 / 55
History coverage23d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 2 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 21 $2 −$1 -52%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma May 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 21 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 21 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 21 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 21 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 21 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 21 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 21 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 21 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 21 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 21 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 21 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 21 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 21 $7 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$16
other 8% +$4
sports 2% −$1
weather 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 15h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 15h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -2.4% -11.7% 69% 38% -3.5%
≤30d 53 -14.8% -22.9% 49% 26% -19.4%
≤90d 53 -14.8% -22.9% 49% 26% -19.4%
all 53 -14.8% -22.9% 49% 26% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 26% -19.4%
10% -30.3% 19% -27.1%
15% -37.0% 15% -34.1%
20% -43.2% 6% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.98 · official $2.98 (match) · 181 history records