trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 42% | 42% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 42% | 42% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 42% | 42% | -12.4% |
| all | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 42% | 42% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.4% | 42% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -46.1% | 25% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -51.3% | 25% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -56.1% | 25% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | Yes | 78¢ | 69¢ | $4 | $3 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 18 | $9 | +$5 | +60% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $4 | −$2 | -50% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $8 | +$5 | +61% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $4 | +$4 | +93% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $8 | +$1 | +14% |