Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c3c…113a
crypto · 838 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$281 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$281 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$281
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses397 / 441
Open positions0
Markets (closed)838 / 838
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day135.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$281
14 days−$281
30 days−$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$15 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$10 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$16 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$281
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 838 -14.5% -22.7% 47% 43% -19.1%
≤30d 838 -14.5% -22.7% 47% 43% -19.1%
≤90d 838 -14.5% -22.7% 47% 43% -19.1%
all 838 -14.5% -22.7% 47% 43% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.7% 43% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -30.1% 40% -26.9%
15% -36.8% 35% -33.9%
20% -43.0% 32% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1284 history records