Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c38…dbcd
crypto · 766 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$1,653 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,653 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,653
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses360 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)766 / 766
History coverage22d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day137.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$151
7 days−$441
14 days−$1,313
30 days−$1,653
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$9 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$10 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$15 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$13 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $22 −$14 -63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,653
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 242 -12.2% -20.6% 47% 42% -21.1%
≤30d 766 -12.0% -20.4% 47% 39% -21.6%
≤90d 766 -12.0% -20.4% 47% 39% -21.6%
all 766 -12.0% -20.4% 47% 39% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 39% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 30% -29.1%
15% -35.0% 23% -36.0%
20% -41.3% 16% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records