Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:07:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c2f…3943
crypto · 1446 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$498 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$498 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$498
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1180 / 308
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1488 / 1446
History coverage274d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$176
7 days−$160
14 days−$871
30 days−$793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 7PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$16 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on August 14 at 5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - August 11, 7PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$24 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -16.5% -24.4% 61% 30% -9.8%
≤30d 537 -12.1% -20.4% 66% 25% -12.2%
≤90d 994 -6.0% -15.0% 78% 21% -10.2%
all 1488 -2.7% -12.0% 79% 26% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 26% -10.2%
10% -20.4% 14% -18.8%
15% -28.1% 9% -26.6%
20% -35.2% 6% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records