Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:33:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c22…f032
other · 593 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$173 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$196 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$196
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses233 / 338
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions22
Markets (closed)571 / 593
History coverage146d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 22 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days−$53
14 days−$0
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-4%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 50¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-8%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 54¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 10¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 54¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 47¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 +$27 +442%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$13 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $52 +$23 +44%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Who will finish higher: Norris or Russell? Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Jun 08 $2 +$2 +90%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 08 $5 +$3 +67%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 07 $2 +$2 +101%
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$6 +276%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 07 $8 +$4 +44%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 07 $6 +$6 +97%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $6 +$4 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 38% +$38
crypto 32% −$114
sports 25% −$131
politics 2% $0
world 1% −$14
culture 1% +$16
tech 1% +$15
finance 0% −$11
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $6 4d
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 5d
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 5d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 5d
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 5d
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 5d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 5d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 5d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 5d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 5d
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 5d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 5d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 5d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 5d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 5d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 5d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $5 5d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -56.5% -60.6% 20% 18% -29.8%
≤30d 128 -8.3% -17.1% 46% 45% -15.7%
≤90d 379 -11.1% -19.5% 44% 43% -10.4%
all 571 -15.5% -23.5% 41% 39% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 39% -15.4%
10% -30.9% 39% -23.5%
15% -37.5% 35% -30.9%
20% -43.7% 29% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.27 · official $92.27 (match) · 1378 history records