Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c03…e334
crypto · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$345 · open −$81
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152
Realized−$345
Unrealized−$81
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses26 / 49
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions8
Markets (closed)75 / 83
History coverage99d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 8 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$473
7 days−$473
14 days−$473
30 days−$473
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 34¢ 22¢ $60 $40 −$20 (-34%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 30¢ 28¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-5%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $60 $1 −$59 (-99%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$44 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$47 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$39 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$18 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$36 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$49 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$24 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$26 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$28 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$20 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$23 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$98 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Mar 23 $25 +$67 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 23 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 22 $30 −$22 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Mar 22 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 22 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Mar 22 $15 +$15 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 22 $22 +$53 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 22 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 22 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Mar 21 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Mar 20 $30 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Mar 20 $40 −$2 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$423
other 5% +$7
sports 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 7m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $24 15m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 13% -58.4%
≤30d 31 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 13% -58.4%
≤90d 74 -23.6% -30.9% 34% 34% -29.1%
all 75 -22.6% -30.0% 35% 35% -28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.0% 35% -28.1%
10% -36.7% 31% -35.0%
15% -42.8% 25% -41.3%
20% -48.4% 23% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.62 · official $158.72 · 512 history records