Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bf6…7cd0
politics · 6 markets active 596d ago
0.0score
+$2,092,886 +134%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,092,886 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,092,886
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$260,360
Trades / day1067.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $324,459 +$487,302 +150%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $849,563 +$1,298,974 +153%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 10 $33,107 +$55,314 +167%
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 10 $75,190 +$60,774 +81%
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 10 $113,789 +$90,299 +79%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 10 $166,053 +$100,223 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$2,092,886
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $10,491 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $51 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $60 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $90 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $148 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $70 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $22 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $113 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $22 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $197 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $86 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $88 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $180 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $92 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $23 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $26 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $77 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $36 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $141 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $22 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $47 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $536 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $54 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $52 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $70 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $4,171 595d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 64¢ $3,496 595d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 40¢ $17,411 595d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 40¢ $124 595d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+94.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 6 +115.1% +94.6% 100% 100% +111.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1067.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +94.6% 100% +111.7%
10% +76.0% 100% +91.4%
15% ← realistic here +59.0% 100% +72.9%
20% +43.4% 100% +56.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1075 history records