trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 25% | 17% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 31% | 23% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 41% | 11% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 11% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $26 | $26 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $59 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $32 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $29 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $13 | −$1 | -5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $18 | +$2 | +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 21 | $59 | −$1 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 21 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $13 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 26 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pr | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | May 07 | $3 | −$1 | -32% |
| Will the Titans draft a Quarterback? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the Jets draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 19 | $7 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wim Eijk be the next pope? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Apr 14 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 12 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | -2% |