trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -18.8% | -26.6% | 60% | 40% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 80% | 60% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 49 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 55% | 47% | -23.1% |
| all | 124 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 67% | 41% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 41% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 31% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 18% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 10% | -36.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -86% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $2 | −$1 | -62% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $6 | +$1 | +17% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $6 | +$1 | +17% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $1 | +$2 | +188% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $1 | +$1 | +116% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $1 | +$1 | +68% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | +41% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 13 | $3 | −$1 | -46% |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 13 | $1 | −$1 | -80% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 13 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 13 | $13 | −$6 | -50% |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Apr 12 | $20 | −$17 | -84% |
| Will CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | Apr 12 | $2 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw? | Apr 12 | $1 | +$1 | +66% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $12 | +$5 | +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Apr 11 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Apr 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | Apr 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Apr 11 | $9 | −$7 | -72% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 10 | $9 | +$3 | +29% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 05 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Mar 29 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |