Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bdb…ec5e
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$160 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$172 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses9 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage37d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +40%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 +$7 +650%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $4 −$3 -83%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 09 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 09 $7 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 09 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 09 $13 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 09 $9 +$7 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 09 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 09 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 09 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 09 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 09 $6 +$13 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$121
sports 18% −$55
other 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 1¢ $0 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 19¢ $5 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $51 10h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $13 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $17 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +17.6% +6.4% 30% 30% -66.0%
≤30d 10 +17.6% +6.4% 30% 30% -66.0%
≤90d 28 -14.7% -22.8% 32% 32% -60.7%
all 28 -14.7% -22.8% 32% 32% -60.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 32% -60.7%
10% -30.2% 32% -64.4%
15% -36.9% 32% -67.9%
20% -43.1% 25% -71.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 50 history records