Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bd5…a55a
crypto · 48 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$106 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses20 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)46 / 48
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$106
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$13 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $16 +$11 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 07 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$104
sports 3% $0
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -21.5% -29.0% 43% 28% -31.0%
≤30d 46 -21.5% -29.0% 43% 28% -31.0%
≤90d 46 -21.5% -29.0% 43% 28% -31.0%
all 46 -21.5% -29.0% 43% 28% -31.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 28% -31.0%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 17% -37.6%
15% -42.0% 15% -43.6%
20% -47.7% 13% -49.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.86 · official $14.86 (match) · 169 history records