Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bcd…7955
crypto · 61 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$81 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses33 / 27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)60 / 61
Avg bet$10
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 53¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$48
world 4% −$24
other 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -12.7% -21.0% 56% 53% -18.7%
≤30d 60 -14.2% -22.4% 55% 52% -22.3%
≤90d 60 -14.2% -22.4% 55% 52% -22.3%
all 60 -14.2% -22.4% 55% 52% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.4% 52% -22.3%
10% -29.8% 42% -29.7%
15% -36.6% 28% -36.5%
20% -42.8% 15% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.81 · official $1.81 (match) · 238 history records