Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:53:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bcd…fbfa
crypto · 51 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses40 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage9d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$14
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 −$12 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$21 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 05 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 05 $15 +$12 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 05 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$45
other 8% −$20
sports 7% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 13¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 76¢ $14 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $25 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -2.1% -11.4% 80% 34% -14.1%
≤30d 50 -0.8% -10.2% 80% 40% -8.6%
≤90d 50 -0.8% -10.2% 80% 40% -8.6%
all 50 -0.8% -10.2% 80% 40% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 40% -8.6%
10% -18.8% 20% -17.4%
15% -26.6% 18% -25.4%
20% -33.8% 8% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 125 history records