Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:00:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bc8…6826
crypto · 2053 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$108 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,138 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1078 / 692
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1770 / 2053
History coverage36d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day63.4
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1770 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$425
14 days+$885
30 days+$1,324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 +33.1% +20.4% 70% 70% +21.6%
≤30d 1236 +24.6% +12.7% 66% 66% +13.5%
≤90d 1770 +14.7% +3.8% 61% 61% +3.8%
all 1770 +14.7% +3.8% 61% 61% +3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.8% 61% +3.8%
10% ← realistic here -6.1% 61% -6.1%
15% -15.2% 61% -15.2%
20% -23.5% 61% -23.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3361 history records