Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bc7…0513
crypto · 356 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$568 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$568 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$568
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses220 / 136
Open positions0
Markets (closed)356 / 356
History coverage1d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day2349.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 356 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$568
7 days+$568
14 days+$568
30 days+$568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$39 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $328 +$36 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$56 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$18 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$23 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $178 +$17 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $171 −$31 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$16 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $350 +$42 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$11 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $244 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $135 +$42 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $92 +$13 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $250 +$44 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $198 +$21 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $244 +$39 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $227 +$56 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$17 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $282 +$50 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $270 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $291 −$138 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $158 +$29 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $244 +$38 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $305 −$15 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$49 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $143 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $212 +$38 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $113 −$38 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $245 +$49 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$568
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $36 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $36 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $57 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $33 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $54 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 62% 41% -8.3%
≤30d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 62% 41% -8.3%
≤90d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 62% 41% -8.3%
all 356 +5.6% -4.5% 62% 41% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2349.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 41% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 22% -17.1%
15% -22.0% 11% -25.1%
20% -29.6% 6% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records