trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 50% | 50% | +5.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 67% | 67% | +7.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 42% | 33% | -4.6% |
| all | 12 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 42% | 33% | -4.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.5% | 33% | -4.6% |
| 10% | -32.6% | 33% | -13.7% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 25% | -22.1% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 0% | -29.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $11 | $9 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $604 | −$24 | -4% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 12 | $674 | +$239 | +36% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $292 | +$73 | +25% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 01 | $185 | −$5 | -3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | Apr 28 | $177 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 13 | $72 | −$38 | -52% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Apr 13 | $100 | +$43 | +43% |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Mar 23 | $358 | −$20 | -6% |
| Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? | Mar 22 | $97 | −$97 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Mar 22 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60 | Mar 22 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Mar 22 | $209 | +$90 | +43% |