trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +26.2% | +14.2% | 50% | 50% | -3.7% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 50% | 50% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 52% | 52% | -2.6% |
| all | 21 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 52% | 52% | -2.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 52% | -2.6% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 52% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 52% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 24% | -28.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $144 | $144 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | Under | 58¢ | 58¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $2 | +$3 | +172% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | Jun 11 | $3 | +$3 | +132% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | Jun 09 | $4 | +$2 | +43% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 04 | $5 | +$3 | +72% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | Jun 03 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 | Jun 02 | $4 | +$2 | +49% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 | May 31 | $0 | $0 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 | May 30 | $2 | +$1 | +49% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 28 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | May 27 | $3 | +$2 | +70% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | May 26 | $4 | +$1 | +38% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 | May 24 | $3 | +$3 | +114% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 | May 21 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | May 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 | May 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | May 17 | $3 | +$2 | +45% |