Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bb2…b26c
other · 108 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$301 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$299 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$135
Realized+$299
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses54 / 52
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)106 / 108
History coverage80d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 2 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$42
14 days+$54
30 days+$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $136 $135 −$1 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-22? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) Tottenham Hotspur FC 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Saski Baskonia 72¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Olympiacos B.C. 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $145 +$22 +15%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $20 +$5 +25%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Jun 07 $39 −$39 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +42%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $100 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -46%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland May 31 $20 +$22 +107%
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $20 −$20 -99%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $51 +$20 +39%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $100 +$49 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $100 +$29 +29%
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia May 27 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia May 26 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +31%
World Championships: USA vs. Austria May 26 $49 +$4 +8%
World Championships: Hungary vs. Latvia May 26 $382 +$35 +9%
World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark May 26 $35 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 25 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 25 $1 +$2 +149%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% +$277
sports 36% +$26
crypto 3% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $136 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $167 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $145 44h
Valencia vs. Joventut BUY Valencia 80¢ $20 3d
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. BUY Olympiacos B.C. 46¢ $10 3d
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut BUY Saski Baskonia 72¢ $39 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 23¢ $10 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Maja Chwalinska 23¢ $10 8d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 45¢ $1 9d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk SELL Marta Kostyuk 100¢ $36 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk BUY Marta Kostyuk 55¢ $20 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka SELL Aryna Sabalenka 100¢ $124 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka BUY Aryna Sabalenka 80¢ $100 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -60.0% -63.8% 33% 33% -25.8%
≤30d 75 -27.5% -34.4% 44% 36% -1.8%
≤90d 106 -15.2% -23.3% 51% 45% +2.7%
all 106 -15.2% -23.3% 51% 45% +2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.3% 45% +2.7%
10% -30.6% 42% -7.1%
15% -37.3% 33% -16.1%
20% -43.5% 19% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.37 · official $135.37 (match) · 193 history records