trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 23% | -2.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 23% | -2.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 23% | -2.9% |
| all | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 23% | -2.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 23% | -2.9% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 23% | -12.2% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 23% | -20.7% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 23% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 67¢ | 30¢ | $93 | $41 | −$52 (-56%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$92 | +267% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $39 | −$6 | -15% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$1 | +94% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$3 | +261% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | -5% |